tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Tampa via Detroit: arrives on time 67%

  1. 14:19 SDF → 15:46 DTW
    DL 5160 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 27m · 71% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 54m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:40 DTW → 21:19 TPA
    F9 1036 · Frontier · 2h 39m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 54m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 00mSDF 14:19 to TPA 21:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.