tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Kansas City via New York: arrives on time 24%

  1. 17:05 RDU → 18:52 LGA
    DL 5180 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 47m · 44% on time, 18.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 LGA → 22:24 MCI
    DL 563 · Delta · 3h 23m · 67% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (18.2% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 18mRDU 17:05 to MCI 22:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.