tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Pittsburgh via New York: arrives on time 37%

  1. 17:05 RDU → 18:52 LGA
    DL 5180 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 47m · 44% on time, 18.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 28m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 LGA → 23:09 PIT
    DL 5722 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 72% on time, 10.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 28m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (18.2% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (10.2% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 04mRDU 17:05 to PIT 23:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.