tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Indianapolis via New York: arrives on time 39%

  1. 15:01 RDU → 16:44 LGA
    DL 5184 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 43m · 60% on time, 7.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 LGA → 20:24 IND
    DL 5635 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (7.9% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 23mRDU 15:01 to IND 20:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.