tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Dallas-Fort Worth via New York: arrives on time 51%

  1. 11:30 ILM → 13:26 LGA
    DL 5186 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 76% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 LGA → 18:04 DFW
    DL 846 · Delta · 4h 04m · 65% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Wilmington). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 34mILM 11:30 to DFW 18:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.