tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Atlanta via New York: arrives on time 64%

  1. 11:30 ILM → 13:26 LGA
    DL 5186 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 76% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 LGA → 17:53 ATL
    DL 974 · Delta · 2h 53m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 23mILM 11:30 to ATL 17:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.