tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Las Vegas via Detroit: arrives on time 60%

  1. 10:26 CLE → 11:26 DTW
    DL 5192 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 01m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:18 DTW → 13:36 LAS
    DL 421 · Delta · 4h 17m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Cleveland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 09mCLE 10:26 to LAS 13:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.