tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → San Francisco via Detroit: arrives on time 52%

  1. 10:26 CLE → 11:26 DTW
    DL 5192 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 01m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 DTW → 14:16 SFO
    DL 469 · Delta · 5h 01m · 70% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Cleveland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 50mCLE 10:26 to SFO 14:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.