tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:15 TYS → 09:04 DTW
    DL 5196 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 49m · 82% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 DTW → 11:59 EWR
    DL 2577 · Delta · 1h 44m · 82% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 44mTYS 07:15 to EWR 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.