tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 79%

  1. 07:15 TYS → 09:04 DTW
    DL 5196 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 49m · 82% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:20 DTW → 13:14 MSP
    DL 2697 · Delta · 1h 54m · 84% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Knoxville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 59mTYS 07:15 to MSP 13:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.