tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Atlanta via Detroit: arrives on time 72%

  1. 07:15 TYS → 09:04 DTW
    DL 5196 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 49m · 82% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 DTW → 12:25 ATL
    DL 2856 · Delta · 1h 58m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 08mTYS 07:15 to ATL 12:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.