tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Boston via New York: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:20 ILM → 19:11 LGA
    DL 5212 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 51m · 68% on time, 11.6% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 LGA → 21:31 BOS
    DL 5850 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 31m · 60% on time, 18.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (11.6% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (18.1% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 11mILM 17:20 to BOS 21:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.