tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Boston via Detroit: arrives on time 50%

  1. 18:32 MSN → 20:58 DTW
    DL 5214 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 26m · 74% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:53 DTW → 23:54 BOS
    DL 1187 · Delta · 2h 01m · 71% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 22mMSN 18:32 to BOS 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.