tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Honolulu via New York: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:03 DTW → 09:00 JFK
    DL 5216 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 57m · 81% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 JFK → 15:21 HNL
    DL 636 · Delta · 10h 45m · 77% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 14h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 6 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip14h 12mDTW 07:03 to HNL 15:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.