tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Minneapolis via Washington: arrives on time 47%

  1. 12:35 CVG → 14:04 DCA
    DL 5221 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 32m · 62% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:59 DCA → 16:50 MSP
    DL 2983 · Delta · 2h 51m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 1 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 15mCVG 12:35 to MSP 16:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.