tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 67%

  1. 10:25 BUF → 11:52 JFK
    DL 5223 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 27m · 88% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 58m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 JFK → 17:47 BNA
    DL 4909 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 57m · 74% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 5 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 193 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 58m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 22mBUF 10:25 to BNA 17:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.