tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Atlanta via Detroit: arrives on time 48%

  1. 17:48 ROC → 19:15 DTW
    DL 5231 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 27m · 65% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 DTW → 23:09 ATL
    DL 2294 · Delta · 2h 14m · 72% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 21mROC 17:48 to ATL 23:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.