tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:50 ILM → 08:36 LGA
    DL 5237 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 46m · 95% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:14 LGA → 13:59 ORD
    AA 2079 · American · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Wilmington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 128 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 10mILM 06:50 to ORD 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.