tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Washington via New York: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:50 ILM → 08:36 LGA
    DL 5237 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 46m · 95% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:47 LGA → 12:17 DCA
    AA 4654 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 85% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 27mILM 06:50 to DCA 12:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.