tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 74%

  1. 09:55 ROC → 11:18 DTW
    DL 5240 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 23m · 88% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:25 DTW → 12:46 MDW
    DL 4688 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 21m · 82% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 3h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Rochester). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip3h 51mROC 09:55 to MDW 12:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.