tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 64%

  1. 09:55 ROC → 11:18 DTW
    DL 5240 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 23m · 88% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 DTW → 14:00 LGA
    DL 1669 · Delta · 1h 45m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 05mROC 09:55 to LGA 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.