tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 71%

  1. 09:55 ROC → 11:18 DTW
    DL 5240 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 23m · 88% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:02 DTW → 15:55 LGA
    DL 2602 · Delta · 1h 53m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 00mROC 09:55 to LGA 15:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.