tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 08:27 MEM → 10:51 ATL
    DL 5247 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 24m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:09 ATL → 15:24 EWR
    DL 2322 · Delta · 2h 15m · 76% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 57mMEM 08:27 to EWR 15:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.