tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 51%

  1. 16:20 PIT → 17:40 MSP
    DL 5249 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 20m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:48 MSP → 20:10 PHX
    DL 2297 · Delta · 3h 22m · 73% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Pittsburgh). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 50mPIT 16:20 to PHX 20:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.