tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Houston via Minneapolis: arrives on time 47%

  1. 16:20 PIT → 17:40 MSP
    DL 5249 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 20m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 MSP → 21:37 IAH
    DL 2683 · Delta · 2h 57m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Pittsburgh). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 17mPIT 16:20 to IAH 21:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.