tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 55%

  1. 14:15 CVG → 15:33 DTW
    DL 5257 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:50 DTW → 18:00 PHX
    DL 1135 · Delta · 4h 06m · 67% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 41mCVG 14:15 to PHX 18:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.