tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 57%

  1. 14:15 CVG → 15:33 DTW
    DL 5257 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:25 DTW → 17:20 MSP
    DL 2203 · Delta · 1h 55m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 05mCVG 14:15 to MSP 17:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.