tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 67%

  1. 08:35 TYS → 09:44 ATL
    DL 5279 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 09m · 74% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 ATL → 12:55 DTW
    DL 1240 · Delta · 1h 56m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 21mTYS 08:35 to DTW 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.