tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 08:35 TYS → 09:44 ATL
    DL 5279 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 09m · 74% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:09 ATL → 14:59 DCA
    DL 360 · Delta · 1h 50m · 72% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 24mTYS 08:35 to DCA 14:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.