tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:00 BUF → 08:30 JFK
    DL 5284 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 30m · 86% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 JFK → 13:13 BNA
    DL 4662 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 43m · 73% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 13mBUF 07:00 to BNA 13:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.