tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 74%

  1. 07:00 BUF → 08:30 JFK
    DL 5284 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 30m · 86% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 JFK → 12:20 ORD
    DL 5119 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 50m · 86% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 20mBUF 07:00 to ORD 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.