tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Orlando via New York: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:00 BUF → 08:30 JFK
    DL 5284 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 30m · 86% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:50 JFK → 12:49 MCO
    DL 2019 · Delta · 2h 59m · 78% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 49mBUF 07:00 to MCO 12:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.