tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Atlanta via New York: arrives on time 52%

  1. 16:28 ROC → 17:59 JFK
    DL 5289 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 31m · 72% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 JFK → 21:59 ATL
    DL 962 · Delta · 2h 59m · 80% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 31mROC 16:28 to ATL 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.