tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Minneapolis via New York: arrives on time 48%

  1. 15:50 BUF → 17:30 JFK
    DL 5296 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 80% on time, 11.1% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:27 JFK → 20:53 MSP
    DL 2245 · Delta · 3h 26m · 70% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 1 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (11.1% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 03mBUF 15:50 to MSP 20:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.