tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chattanooga → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 62%

  1. 10:01 CHA → 11:02 ATL
    DL 5309 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 01m · 91% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:05 ATL → 14:20 EWR
    DL 2312 · Delta · 2h 15m · 72% on time, 4.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (4.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 19mCHA 10:01 to EWR 14:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.