tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Washington via New York: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 ROC → 07:19 LGA
    DL 5311 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 19m · 82% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:50 LGA → 10:15 DCA
    DL 5742 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 25m · 83% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 15mROC 06:00 to DCA 10:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.