tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Fort Lauderdale via New York: arrives on time 39%

  1. 13:00 RIC → 14:42 LGA
    DL 5313 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 43m · 70% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 LGA → 18:57 FLL
    DL 2321 · Delta · 3h 27m · 66% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 57mRIC 13:00 to FLL 18:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.