tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Orlando via New York: arrives on time 37%

  1. 13:00 RIC → 14:42 LGA
    DL 5313 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 43m · 70% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 LGA → 18:52 MCO
    DL 2520 · Delta · 3h 14m · 62% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 49mRIC 13:00 to MCO 18:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.