tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Atlanta via Richmond: arrives on time 84%

  1. 09:20 JFK → 11:01 RIC
    DL 5316 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 02m layover in Richmond (RIC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:03 RIC → 14:52 ATL
    DL 2650 · Delta · 1h 45m · 90% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 02m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 28mJFK 09:20 to ATL 14:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.