tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Detroit via Richmond: arrives on time 85%

  1. 09:20 JFK → 11:01 RIC
    DL 5316 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Richmond (RIC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:36 RIC → 14:21 DTW
    DL 3166 · Delta · 1h 45m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 01mJFK 09:20 to DTW 14:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.