tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dulles via Richmond: arrives on time 88%

  1. 09:20 JFK → 11:01 RIC
    DL 5316 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Richmond (RIC) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:00 RIC → 16:05 IAD
    UA 4549 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 05m · 92% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 45mJFK 09:20 to IAD 16:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.