tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Miami via New York: arrives on time 63%

  1. 11:41 RIC → 13:09 JFK
    DL 5316 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 28m · 83% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:14 JFK → 18:54 MIA
    DL 2500 · Delta · 3h 40m · 72% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 13mRIC 11:41 to MIA 18:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.