tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:35 TYS → 08:46 ATL
    DL 5317 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 12m · 85% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 ATL → 11:30 MSP
    DL 2090 · Delta · 2h 35m · 90% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Knoxville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 55mTYS 07:35 to MSP 11:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.