tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 07:35 TYS → 08:46 ATL
    DL 5317 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 12m · 85% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:05 ATL → 14:20 EWR
    DL 2312 · Delta · 2h 15m · 72% on time, 4.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 154 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 45mTYS 07:35 to EWR 14:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.