tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 07:35 TYS → 08:46 ATL
    DL 5317 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 12m · 85% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:03 ATL → 12:24 EWR
    DL 2401 · Delta · 2h 21m · 86% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 49mTYS 07:35 to EWR 12:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.