tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 07:35 TYS → 08:46 ATL
    DL 5317 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 12m · 85% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 ATL → 12:42 DCA
    DL 737 · Delta · 1h 42m · 81% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 07mTYS 07:35 to DCA 12:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.