tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Washington via New York: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:30 ROC → 06:59 JFK
    DL 5318 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 28m · 90% on time, 6.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 36m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 JFK → 10:02 DCA
    DL 5750 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 27m · 92% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 36m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (6.6% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip4h 32mROC 05:30 to DCA 10:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.