tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Dulles via New York: arrives on time 78%

  1. 05:30 ROC → 06:59 JFK
    DL 5318 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 28m · 90% on time, 6.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:16 JFK → 11:48 IAD
    DL 5835 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 32m · 87% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (6.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 18mROC 05:30 to IAD 11:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.