tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:30 PIT → 07:44 DTW
    DL 5319 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 14m · 86% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:45 DTW → 09:56 PHX
    DL 1070 · Delta · 4h 11m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Pittsburgh). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 26mPIT 06:30 to PHX 09:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.