tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 46%

  1. 08:49 STL → 10:30 MSP
    DL 5325 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 MSP → 13:09 MDW
    DL 4820 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 39m · 62% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 20mSTL 08:49 to MDW 13:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.